武康平,杨超,徐豪熠

• 1:清华大学经济管理学院

摘要(Abstract)：

作为人类冲突的一种表现形式,恐怖活动有着悠久的历史。二战以后,恐怖主义日趋表现为国家恐怖主义以及国际恐怖主义。恐怖活动的破坏程度呈加深趋势,其影响不仅表现在对经济的直接破坏上,更重要的是对人们心理产生很大的负面影响——心理阴影。从心理因素考虑,恐怖主义对经济社会的影响比直接对经济的破坏程度更大。在恐怖主义背景下,本文基于优化增长模型的框架,探究了恐怖主义对经济增长以及社会福利的影响。根据恐怖主义的严重程度,分别讨论了三种影响程度下的经济运行状态,以及各经济运行状态可能的动态变化。对于每一种情形,给出了均衡的存在性及唯一性。根据恐怖主义的影响程度的动态转变,经济运行的稳态也随之从原来的稳态向新的稳态过渡,并达到经济运行的新稳态。

关键词(KeyWords)： 恐怖主义;优化增长;Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans模型;竞争性均衡;经济运行的动态分析

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Author): 武康平,杨超,徐豪熠

DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.20160325.002

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