数字化技术吸收会减少服务就业吗——基于新兴古典经济学分工理论的分析Will Digital Technology Uptake Reduce Service Employment——Based on the Analysis of the Division of Labor Theory of New Classical Economics
曾世宏,钟纯,刘迎娣
摘要(Abstract):
研究数字化技术对服务就业的影响,对于助推我国服务业高质量发展,缩小南北经济差距,构建新发展格局,具有非常重要的现实意义。文章首先基于新兴古典经济学分工理论构建微观机理模型,阐述数字化技术影响服务就业的内在机理,其次借助主成分分析法对我国30个省级行政区域2008—2018年数字化技术发展水平和交易效率指标进行了测度和评价,最后运用空间计量等实证方法检验了数字化技术对服务就业的定量影响。研究结果表明:数字化技术主要通过提高交易效率和增进行业分工来扩张服务就业,数字化技术从总体规模上并没有减少服务就业量,且对知识密集型、资本密集型和劳动密集型服务就业呈现依次增强的异质性影响。由于南北方的数字化技术水平存在较大的差距,南方的数字化技术对服务就业的影响效应显著高于北方,这在一定程度上也反映了南北经济差距和区域发展不平衡不充分,但进一步通过空间计量检验发现,数字化技术对服务就业的影响具有空间外溢性,这对于数字经济条件下如何缩小南北经济发展差距,实现区域协调发展具有重要的政策含义。
关键词(KeyWords): 数字化技术;服务就业;南北经济差距;新兴古典分工理论;空间溢出效应
基金项目(Foundation): 2018国家社科基金重大项目“新旧动能转换机制设计及路径选择研究”(项目编号:18ZDA077);; 2019湖南省社科基金智库专项重点项目“湖南区块链技术创新与产业发展研究”(项目编号19ZWB34)的阶段性成果
作者(Author): 曾世宏,钟纯,刘迎娣
DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2022.03.001
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- (1)由于篇幅所限,省略超边际分析的详细推导过程,读者可向作者索要。
- (2)由于篇幅所限,没有列出各指标的原始数据和具体测度结果,读者可向作者索要。
- (3)由于篇幅所限,没有列出各变量的描述性统计,读者可向作者索要。