空间外溢效应与区域经济增长:基于本地利用能力的分析Spatial Spillover Effect and Regional Economic Growth:Analysis Based on Local Utilizing Capacity
龚维进,徐春华
摘要(Abstract):
本文采用全国地级市数据和复合权重空间杜宾模型(MWMSDM),并将空间外部性和利用能力同时纳入到区域经济增长模型中进行分析,得到如下主要结论:一方面,存在于区域之间的空间外部性以及区域对外来的空间外部性的利用能力都是影响中国区域经济增长的重要因素,并且它们对区域经济增长的促进作用将随着地理距离的增大而逐渐让位于由物质资本投资积累而引发的技术进步和区域AR外部性所带来的促进作用。另一方面,人力资本在促进区域经济增长中的辐射范围呈现梯度递减的极化效应,而物质资本对区域自身经济增长的促进作用随着地理距离增大而逐渐增强,它对邻居区域经济增长的积极作用不易受地理距离的影响,由此使得其在总体上具有显著而又逐渐增大的空间外溢效应。本文的发现在制定区域经济政策及优化物质资本与人力资本投资方面均有重要政策启示。
关键词(KeyWords): 空间外溢效应;本地利用能力;区域经济增长;人力资本;物质资本
基金项目(Foundation): 广东外语外贸大学引进人才科研启动项目(299-X5216174)的阶段性成果;; 国家社科基金重大项目“高铁快速发展背景下区域经济协调发展及相关政策研究”(11&ZD159)、国家社科基金青年项目“滇黔桂省际边界民族地区国土空间优化布局研究”(13CMZ038)资助
作者(Author): 龚维进,徐春华
DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2017.01.003
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- (1)该定律表明,区域的属性值在空间上是相互关联的,相近的区域关联更密切。
- (2)也有学者称之为空间溢出(spatial spillover)、地理外溢(geography spillovers)或者区域外溢(regional spillovers)。
- (1)也有学者称之为空间距离,在空间经济学中两者可以等同使用。故我们在下文中将保留有关文献的原有使用格式而未作统一处理。
- (1)其详细的理论基础论证可参考Ertur and Koch(2007)一文,本文不再赘述。
- (1)经验分析部分已验证在所有不同的距离阈值下,(I-γW1-δhW2)均可逆。
- (1)由于超过2450千米时,反映物质资本投资对区域经济增长促进作用的参数α不能在10 %的显著性水平上是显著的,因此本文选择2450千米作为连续回归中距离阈值的上限。