住房价格对城镇家庭消费的影响——来自多期微观面板数据的证据The Impact of Housing Price on Urban Household Consumption: Evidence from Multi-period Panel Data of Households
曹静,李智鑫,胡文皓
摘要(Abstract)：
本文使用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)2010年、2012年、2014年和2016年四期的微观面板数据,运用固定效应模型,研究我国城镇家庭的住房价格对消费的影响,并在此基础上创新性地使用事后分家行为作为事前有无购房意愿的衡量指标,研究家庭的购房意愿差异所产生的房价对消费的异质性影响。结果显示,总体上房价上涨对消费无明显影响;但购房意愿强烈(即将因婚嫁分家)的家庭则会随着房价上涨而显著减少消费。本文使用多期微观面板数据,弥补了已有文献数据的不足。
关键词(KeyWords)： 住房价格;消费;购房意愿
基金项目(Foundation): 清华大学中国经济社会数据研究中心中国收入不平等与消费不平等比较研究项目的阶段性成果;; “中华思源工程扶贫基金会闽善公益基金”的资助;; 北京大学“985”项目资助;; 国家重点研发计划“全球变化驱动下陆表自然和人文要素相互作用及区域表现”(项目号:2017YFA0603600);; 国家自然科学基金项目(71461010701)支持;; 清华大学绿色经济与可持续发展研究中心研究子项目成果,该子项目研究经费由研究中心合作共建机构沃尔沃集团提供
作者(Author): 曹静,李智鑫,胡文皓
DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2020.02.005
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- (1)这里参考了《中国家庭追踪调查用户手册(第三版)》。
- (2)http://sh.house.163.com/special/hunfang/[2018-12-22]
- (3)感谢审稿人的宝贵建议。