马天平,卢旭蕊

• 1:北京体育大学体育商学院

摘要(Abstract)：

在微观家庭的消费升级中,时间和金钱是重要的决定因素,两者均与工作忙碌程度相关。工作忙碌既可减少闲暇时间,使得工作对消费产生替代效应,制约消费升级;又可能增加收入,产生消费的经济基础优势,表现为互补效应,促进消费升级。但受制于加总谬误等相关因素,以往研究尚未对上述净效应给出经验证据。本文以文体休闲为消费升级的代表,分析现阶段中国家庭工作忙碌程度对消费升级的净效应。研究发现:替代效应占据主导作用,经济基础优势弱于时间分配冲突,工作忙碌程度制约了消费升级。原因一是宏观上,我国经济发展水平变高,使得工作忙碌对闲暇时间的替代效应增强;二是微观上,家庭年龄结构老龄化增加,消费受阻。由此建议,制定消费升级政策时,应考虑工作忙碌程度,尤其要增加中高收入人群的闲暇时间并关注家庭老龄化的消费约束。

关键词(KeyWords)： 消费升级;闲暇时间;文体休闲;替代效应

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金项目面上项目(批准号:71871216)的支持;; 北京体育大学中国体育战略研究院的支持

作者(Author): 马天平,卢旭蕊

DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.20210708.001

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• (1)本文针对工作的忙碌程度进行分析,因此在计算该指标时,未工作的未成年人和老人不计入。 (2)由于难以衡量家庭主观意愿的平均水平,因此采用户主意愿进行代表。 (3)CHFS的数据样本覆盖了全国29个省(自治区、直辖市),暂无新疆和西藏地区数据。