贸易伙伴国交通基础设施建设与中国对外贸易发展——基于中国与亚投行56个意向创始成员国的实证分析Transport Infrastructure of Trading Partner and Chinas Foreign Trade Development——Empirical Analysis Based on China and 56 Founder Members of Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank
张支南,巫俊
摘要(Abstract)：
本文利用2000—2015年中国与亚洲基础设施投资银行56个意向创始成员国之间的双边数据检验了贸易伙伴国的交通基础设施水平对中国进出口贸易的影响。实证结果表明:(1)从总体上来看,亚投行意向创始成员国交通基础设施总体水平的提升将会促进中国与他们之间的进出口贸易规模扩大。(2)从不同类型的交通基础设施来看,亚投行意向创始成员国铁路基础设施建设对中国与他们进出口贸易规模的影响最大,其次是港口基础设施,航空基础设施的影响最小。(3)从不同类型的贸易伙伴国来看,交通基础设施总体水平的提升,将更能促进中国自"一带一路"沿线国家的进口贸易规模扩大,更能促进中国与发展中国家或者亚洲国家之间的进出口贸易规模扩大。
关键词(KeyWords)： 交通基础设施;出口贸易;进口贸易;亚洲基础设施投资银行
基金项目(Foundation):
作者(Author): 张支南,巫俊
DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2019.03.001
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- (1)中国自由贸易区服务网网址：http：//fta.mofcom.gov.cn/。
- (1)此处的“中国出口”是指中国对其他国家的出口，即其他国家从中国的进口。本节考察的是贸易伙伴国交通基础设施对中国出口额的影响，换言之，考察了贸易伙伴国交通基础设施如何影响本国自中国的进口贸易。为论述方便，后面部分段落我们从贸易伙伴国的视角进行论述，即贸易伙伴国的交通基础设施水平如何影响他们自中国的进口贸易。
- (1)此处的“中国进口”是指中国从其他国家的进口，即其他国家对中国的出口。本节考察的是贸易伙伴国交通基础设施对中国进口额的影响，换言之，考察了贸易伙伴国交通基础设施如何影响他们对中国的出口贸易。为论述方便，部分段落会从贸易伙伴国的视角进行论述，即贸易伙伴国的交通基础设施水平如何影响他们对中国的出口贸易。
- (1)联合国粮食及农业组织发布的《世界渔业和水产养殖状况》报告显示，海洋捕捞产量最高的十大国家具体包括：中国、印度尼西亚、美国、俄罗斯联邦、日本、秘鲁、印度、越南、缅甸、挪威，本文按照上述名单进行了剔除。