张正东,李金珂,孟岭生

• 1:清华大学经济管理学院经济系

摘要(Abstract)：

传统微观理论通常独立地关注个人退休决策,而忽视了家庭成员之间劳动供给行为的相互影响;并且由于缺少有效的研究方法,家庭劳动供给联合决策的实证研究面临着解决内生性问题的难点。本文利用中国的强制退休政策提供的模糊断点回归设计,识别了女性早于男性退休对男性配偶劳动供给的因果影响。基于2005年全国人口抽样调查数据的实证分析显示,女性50周岁退休导致男性配偶退休概率提高11.6个百分点,劳动参与率降低15.5个百分点,每周工作时间减少9.1小时,表明我国家庭中夫妻双方存在共同退休行为。将这一研究发现纳入对现有退休政策的评估可以为退休政策的改革提供参考依据。

关键词(KeyWords)： 退休;劳动供给;断点回归设计

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation):

作者(Author): 张正东,李金珂,孟岭生

DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2017.04.007

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