审出“青山”照眼明：中国环境司法的碳减排效果评估Assessment of the Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Environmental Justice in China
吴健贤
摘要(Abstract)：
本文以中级人民法院设立环保法庭为切入点，采用交错倍差法来讨论中国环境司法的碳减排效果。研究发现：中国环境司法在统计和经济意义上均显著促进了碳减排，实施环保法庭的城市平均降低了6.3%碳排放强度，减少了2.079百万吨碳排放。事件研究、异质性处理效应检验和儒家文化构造的工具变量均验证了结果可靠性。机制分析表明，环境司法促进了环境行政处罚和人大建议的承办数，倒逼了绿色创新和产业结构转型，提升了环境信访和政协提案的承办数。异质性分析发现，环境司法有助于国家重大战略发展区域、资源型地区和老工业基地的低碳转型。福利价值测算表明，环境司法应对气候变化具有一定的社会效益，平均每年减少14至97人死亡，节约1.39亿至8.1亿元的社会成本。
关键词(KeyWords)： 环境司法;环保法庭;波特效应;福利分析;“双碳”目标
基金项目(Foundation): 国家社科基金重大项目“转变城市发展方式的理论内涵、实践路径和机制保障研究”（24ZDA051）;国家社科基金重点项目“特大型城市治理体系和治理能力现代化研究”（22AZD141）;; 中国博士后科学基金第78批面上资助项目（2025M780694）的资助
作者(Author): 吴健贤
参考文献(References)：
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- (1)通过中国知网可以检索并下载附录。 (2)通过中国知网可以检索并下载附录。 (3)通过中国知网可以检索并下载附录。 (4)通过中国知网可以检索并下载附录。 (5)中原地区和东南五省设立环保法庭的省份和地级市分别占样本内总体数量的半壁江山:50%(10/20)和43.9%(36/82)。 (6)DICE-EMR模型基于2018年诺贝尔经济学奖获得者William Nordhaus开发的DICE—2016模型进行了扩展,主要考虑了碳死亡率和碳的社会成本,明确了气候变化对温度相关死亡率的影响。 (7)资料来源:https://www.safe.gov.cn/;样本期内人民币兑换美元汇率的均值为7.372。 (8)通过中国知网可以检索并下载附录。