张华

• 1:南京审计大学商学院
• 2:复旦大学经济学院理论经济学流动站

摘要(Abstract)：

作为重要的区位导向性政策,西部大开发战略实施至今已二十年,准确评估其政策效果具有重要意义。本文利用2000—2014年中国2009个县域的面板数据,使用空间断点回归的方法估计了西部大开发对城乡收入差距的影响。研究发现,整体上,相比于未实施西部大开发战略的县区,实施西部大开发战略的县区城乡收入差距平均提升1.60～1.68,超过样本均值的30%,意味着西部大开发显著加剧城乡收入差距;然而,在城乡收入差距最悬殊的25%的样本中,西部大开发对城乡收入差距具有缩小效应。从年份动态效应上看,西部大开发对城乡收入差距的扩大效应呈先增加后减小的倒U形曲线。机制分析表明,西部大开发显著提升了城镇居民收入,却显著降低了农村居民收入,表明农村居民并未享受到西部大开发战略的政策红利。因此,未来西部大开发政策应促进城乡要素合理配置,健全城乡协调发展机制,提高西部地区的农村居民收入。

关键词(KeyWords)： 西部大开发;城乡收入差距;断点回归

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金青年项目(批准号:71703073);; 中国博士后科学基金项目(批准号:2017M610218);; 江苏省社会科学基金青年项目(批准号:16GLC005);; 南京审计大学青年教师科研培育项目(批准号:18QNPY009)资助

作者(Author): 张华

DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2020.02.006

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