中国制造如何应对汇率冲击:理论机制与经验证据How Made in China Deal with the Shock of Exchange Rate:Theoretical Mechanism and Empirical Evidence
陈阵,邹明君
摘要(Abstract):
本文首先基于企业异质性贸易理论,构建汇率变动对多产品企业出口作用机制的理论模型,并运用2000—2006年中国海关和中国工业企业的匹配数据,实证分析了汇率冲击对中国制造业企业出口行为的影响程度。结果发现,人民币实际汇率升值1%,中国多产品出口企业产品的出口价格、出口数量以及出口额分别下降0.14%、0.47%和0.47%;并且,高技术水平的产品,其出口数量和出口额受汇率冲击影响更小;同时,出口产品种类减少0.06%,产品集中度增加0.02%;此外,企业产品的增加大部分是缘于汇率贬值的原因,而非其自身的技术进步。
关键词(KeyWords): 汇率冲击;中国制造;异质性企业;多产品企业
基金项目(Foundation): 国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403037);; 中国博士后基金面上项目(2014M561254);; 辽宁省社会科学规划基金青年项目(L14CJY042);; 中央高校基本科研业务专项项目(DUT15RW112)的资助
作者(Author): 陈阵,邹明君
DOI: 10.16513/j.cnki.cje.2017.04.003
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